Every team carries a power rating fit on point margins across the season, anchored to a preseason projection and pulled toward its own results as the evidence accumulates.
SMU
27
Florida State
24
Central Michigan
7
New Mexico
38
Wisconsin
13
Notre Dame
41
Washington State
10
Washington
24
East Carolina
10
Alabama
48
Boston College
15
Cincinnati
34
North Texas
16
Indiana
52
Northern Illinois
0
Iowa
40
Liberty
13
James Madison
20
Clemson
10
LSU
51
Arkansas State
24
Memphis
42
Toledo
20
Michigan State
30
Click below to see this week's picks with predicted margins
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Indiana
Notre Dame
Georgia
Ohio State
Miami
Texas A&M
Texas
Alabama
Utah
LSU
Michigan
Gonzaga
Arizona
Iowa State
Purdue
Duke
Vanderbilt
Illinois
BYU
Louisville
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For each matchup, the model considers team ratings, statistical differentials, home court advantage, and neutral site factors to predict the margin and win probability. The model outputs the predicted winner, point margin along with the edge versus the vegas line
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