Matchup
Away team on top, home team on bottom. Whichever team the model favors to win is highlighted.
Model Spread
Our model's own predicted margin. "Ohio State -9.5" means the model expects Ohio State to win by 9.5 points.
Vegas Line
The actual sportsbook spread for the same game, for comparison. Shows N/A if a line isn't posted yet.
Edge
How far our model's line disagrees with Vegas. A bigger edge means a bigger gap between our number and the market's — and more potential value if the model is right.
Win %
The model's estimated probability that its predicted winner actually wins the game.
| Matchup | Model Spread | Vegas Line | Edge | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Michigan
@
Ohio State
|
Ohio State -9.5 | Ohio State -3.5 | +6.0 | |
|
Oklahoma
@
Texas
|
Texas -6.0 | Texas -2.0 | +4.0 | |
|
Alabama
@
Georgia
|
Georgia -3.0 | Georgia -2.5 | +0.5 | |
|
USC
@
Notre Dame
(Neutral Site)
|
Notre Dame -4.5 | N/A | N/A |
Edge Legend
High Edge (5+ points) - Strong value opportunity
Medium Edge (3-5 points) - Moderate value opportunity
Low Edge (<3 points) - Minimal value
That's it — that's exactly what the real predictions page looks like, just with real games once the season is live.
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